// PRODUCT
The only risk workflow built on 4,998 verified startup autopsies. From structural match to IC-ready memo — in one platform, without manual work.
A startup is matched against 4,998+ verified autopsies across 15 structural dimensions: sector, country, funding stage, moat type and strength, hype cycle position, business model, B2B/B2C, founding year, archetype, primary fatal mistake, and more. A Naive Bayes + retrieval ensemble predicts the most likely failure causes — 86% Top-3 accuracy (72% exact primary cause), validated on n=3,421. No black box — every score is traceable to specific signals.
Kaplan-Meier survival curves built from real collapse sequences — not industry averages or analyst opinion. For your matched cohort, you get survival probability at 12, 24, and 36 months. Rates are stratified by dominant cause, so you can see whether the risk peaks early (PMF failure) or late (unit economics/scaling).
Three output formats generated from your match results — each targeting a different audience. IC Memo: full risk analysis with score rationale, cause breakdown, survival interpretation, top 3 comparable collapses, DD questions, and LP-ready language. IC 1-pager: condensed executive summary for committee review. LP Note: investor-facing narrative framing the risk in portfolio context. The 3–4 hours your analyst spends building this, automated — without sacrificing analytical rigour.
Weekly or daily structural risk alerts across your full portfolio. When a company matches new historical patterns — shifted hype cycle position, new funding stage, changed business model — you get notified with the updated risk score and the specific signals that triggered the change. Only structural shifts that move the score by a meaningful threshold.
Sync risk analysis results directly into your Notion deal rooms, Airtable portfolio trackers, Affinity CRM, Visible reports, Excel workbooks, or Google Sheets. Risk scores, cause distributions, and comparable collapses appear as structured fields — no copy-paste, no reformatting. Your existing workflow gains risk intelligence without adding tool overhead.
Filter, query, and export the full autopsy dataset. Filter by collapse style, hype cycle phase, moat type, geography, funding stage, business model, and timeline events. Build risk intelligence into your own models, fund management platforms, or research pipelines. Rate limits scale with your plan; full dataset available on Fund tier.
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Free account gives you 1 risk match. No card required. The full platform is available from €199/month.